Who's crystal clear and who's all wet when it to comes to Minnesota weather forecasters?
Friday, July 22, 2011
Severe Saturday?
Twin Cities forecasters are talking about the possibility of severe storms on Saturday, which means Twins fans and U2 fans can't rest easy. Weigh in with your thoughts here.
The SPC Day 2 outlook shows it well, Last night I was thinking the hwy 10 I-94 corridor would be the hot spot, so just NW of the metro mid to late afternoon, the metro should see threatening skies in the late afternoon, early evening. Needless to say those getting out of the twins game, and those going to the concert and fireworks need to be aware of their surroundings. Bill has posted a link to the SPC site, take a look at the probabilistic tap.
There are a TON of sites with weather data and maps like this. I have often thought of creating an aggregator site to collect links and other things to get easy access to all of it, but gave up because there's just so much.
what is more interesting is who you trust for you information? I really like Novak. He is brief but gives it all that you need. So when does the TV guys become irrelevant and alternative become the better source?
I trust Novak a lot. He is most likely correct and said this two days ago.
I think the tv guys are always relevant,for the most part, when they say a chance for severe weather it's time to go looking to find out what type of severe is possible, but they become the most relevant when the worst of the severe weather is happening
Given it is a summer weekend and two major outdoor events (U2 and Twins) going on monitoring the weather should definitely be done. Saturday morning TV weather casts will be critical as folks plan their day. Conditions look very favorable for severe weather as many parameters come into play. Instabilities are very significant with just a sneeze in the atmosphere needed to trigger storms. TV wx casters, online mediums and good ole NOAA Wx radio -- all relevant.
Every indication is that we're going to get 3-5 hours of rain/thunder this morning. Shouldn't that reduce the chance for severe this afternoon? I'd certainly take the stormy morning as a possible good sign if I were a U2 fan.
@Dave in Woodbury
ReplyDeleteThe SPC Day 2 outlook shows it well, Last night I was thinking the hwy 10 I-94 corridor would be the hot spot, so just NW of the metro mid to late afternoon, the metro should see threatening skies in the late afternoon, early evening. Needless to say those getting out of the twins game, and those going to the concert and fireworks need to be aware of their surroundings. Bill has posted a link to the SPC site, take a look at the probabilistic tap.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2probotlk_1730_any.gif
ReplyDeleteTry that link
Tornado watch for eastern Montana!
ReplyDeleteThings seem to be heating up here...
ReplyDeletehttp://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1690.html
There are a TON of sites with weather data and maps like this. I have often thought of creating an aggregator site to collect links and other things to get easy access to all of it, but gave up because there's just so much.
ReplyDeleteCan anybody suggest something?
Anonymous at 416...
ReplyDeleteFind somebody to help you along with the creation of your site. It is the best way to do what you want to do.
Make a very organized site, and you should be fine. (ie- start with one basic catagory, then go into more detailed catigories, and so on and so forth)
I can't help you with the site, but if you have questions, just ask here, and We will gladly help you.
what is more interesting is who you trust for you information? I really like Novak. He is brief but gives it all that you need. So when does the TV guys become irrelevant and alternative become the better source?
ReplyDeleteI trust Novak a lot. He is most likely correct and said this two days ago.
I think television forecasters are dying a slow death. Look no further than how Paul Douglas has reinvented himself with new media.
ReplyDeleteNovak gives you what you need without all the unnecessary glitz.
@anon 6:24pm
ReplyDeleteI think the tv guys are always relevant,for the most part, when they say a chance for severe weather it's time to go looking to find out what type of severe is possible, but they become the most relevant when the worst of the severe weather is happening
OK, for starters, where can I find the source for this graph?
ReplyDeletehttp://minnesota.publicradio.org/collections/special/columns/updraft/content_root/1%201%201%201%201%20dewps%20wkd.PNG
Globe 199 here you go
ReplyDeletehttp://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/index.html
just click on the site you want and you will see many graph's
Group of splitting t-stoms going towards MPX. Keep an eye to the sky!
ReplyDelete@randyinchamplin
ReplyDeleteThat site links to text-based BUFKITs (whatever that is), but no graphs.
@ Disco click on the site you want...a box will show up choose visualize data, try that, sorry didn't make that clear
ReplyDeleteThanks Randy, I found it. This link takes you there:
ReplyDeletehttp://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/image_loader.phtml?site=kmsp
Big old bow echo heading for Bismarck right now.
ReplyDeleteGiven it is a summer weekend and two major outdoor events (U2 and Twins) going on monitoring the weather should definitely be done. Saturday morning TV weather casts will be critical as folks plan their day. Conditions look very favorable for severe weather as many parameters come into play. Instabilities are very significant with just a sneeze in the atmosphere needed to trigger storms. TV wx casters, online mediums and good ole NOAA Wx radio -- all relevant.
ReplyDeleteEvery indication is that we're going to get 3-5 hours of rain/thunder this morning. Shouldn't that reduce the chance for severe this afternoon? I'd certainly take the stormy morning as a possible good sign if I were a U2 fan.
ReplyDelete@AB
ReplyDeleteI don't know. SPC still has us inside the 5% tornado risk area
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1300_torn.gif
But the storms have moved off to the east. For now anyway.
The next update is in three minutes, we will see...
ReplyDeleteNope, no such luck. still at 15-30% hail, 30% wind, and 5% tornado. Next update at 2000z, or 300pm CDT
ReplyDelete@bemaki
ReplyDeleteBy "no such luck" are you NOT wanting storms?
Disco80...
ReplyDeleteYES. A person would be crazy to want severe t-storm, unless he or she wanted their house destroyed, or he or she was a storm chaser.
Mabye I should of clarified that I was commenting on AB's comment.
By the way watch likely...
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1708.html
Then consider me crazy :)
ReplyDeleteI'm a weather geek and most seem to like severe storms. We wouldn't follow the weather if it was boring.
Let me clarify a bit more. I love watching red blobs float across a radar screen, I just dont like the red squares over where I live.
ReplyDeleteRunning out of time here. Not much happening.
ReplyDelete